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Cosmos Study

Fewer Than Half of Children with New-Onset Type 1 Diabetes Receive Autoantibody Testing, Though Rates Are Rising

October 23, 2026
Dual-Team Study
Team A:Kersten Bartelt, RNBen Bowers
Team B:Louis Kazaglis, MDEmily Higgs

Key Findings

  • Among children newly diagnosed with type 1 diabetes, 48.8% underwent at least one autoantibody test during the six months before or after the diagnosis. Of those tested, 70.1% had at least one positive result and 44.3% tested positive for two or more autoantibodies.
  • Among autoantibody tests performed for children diagnosed in 2025, GAD65 had the highest positivity rate at 61.7%, followed by ZnT8 at 60.6%, and IA-2 at 56.1%. Insulin autoantibody positivity was the lowest at 24.3%.
  • Testing before diagnosis has remained uncommon but nearly doubled between 2017 and 2025, with GAD65 rising from 2.4% in 2017 to 4.2% in 2025. Similar increases were seen across all five autoantibodies studied.
  • Testing after diagnosis also rose across all autoantibodies; GAD65, the most common, climbed from 31.2% in 2017 to 46.6% in 2025, while ZnT8 saw the steepest increase, from 3.3% to 35.1%.

Type 1 diabetes is one of the most common chronic diseases in children,1 driven by an autoimmune process in which the body’s immune system attacks and destroys the insulin-producing cells of the pancreas. This attack can be detected through blood tests for islet autoantibodies, which are proteins that indicate the immune system is targeting the pancreas. The American Diabetes Association (ADA) began recommending measuring the four of these autoantibodies (GAD65, IA-2, insulin, and ZnT8) in 2025 to confirm an autoimmune cause and distinguish type 1 diabetes from other forms.2,3 Confirming the autoimmune basis of diabetes matters because treatment and monitoring differ by diabetes type, and because an estimated 10–15% of children clinically diagnosed with type 1 diabetes test negative for all measured autoantibodies, a result that can prompt evaluation for monogenic or other non-autoimmune diabetes.4 Confirming autoimmune status is increasingly important as teplizumab has been approved to delay the progression from early-stage type 1 to clinical type 1 diabetes in autoantibody-positive individuals.5 Despite the clinical value of autoantibody testing, real-world testing practices might vary, and the extent to which children newly diagnosed with type 1 diabetes receive this workup is not well described.

We studied 68,439 children newly diagnosed with type 1 diabetes between January 2017 and December 2025. We measured how often the four ADA-recommended autoantibodies plus islet cell antibodies, an older test, were tested in the six months before and after diagnosis, the share of tests that were positive, and the number of positive autoantibodies per child.

Of the children studied, 48.8% had at least one autoantibody test in the six months before through six months after diagnosis, while 51.2% were never tested for any autoantibody. Among those who were tested, 70.1% had at least one positive result and 44.3% were positive for two or more autoantibodies. Because treatment and monitoring differ by diabetes type, the children without a confirmed autoimmune basis for their diagnoses represent a meaningful gap in the diagnostic workup.5

Figure 1
Autoantibody Testing and Positivity Rate Among Children with Type 1 Diabetes
Autoantibody Testing and Positivity Rate Among Children with Type 1 Diabetes
Figure 1. The share of autoantibody testing among children with new-onset type 1 diabetes and the positivity rate of those who were tested.

Among autoantibody tests performed for children diagnosed in 2025, positivity varied by type. GAD65 had the highest positivity rate at 61.7%, followed closely by ZnT8 at 60.6% and IA-2 at 56.1%. Islet cell antibodies were positive in 31.4% of tests and insulin autoantibodies in 24.3%. Indeterminate results occurred among 13.7% of insulin autoantibody tests, which might reflect known challenges with insulin autoantibody assay standardization.6 These patterns underscore the importance of testing for multiple autoantibodies because no single test identifies every child with autoimmune diabetes.

Figure 2
Autoantibody Positivity Among Children Diagnosed in 2025
Autoantibody Positivity Among Children Diagnosed in 2025
Figure 2. Positivity rates for each autoantibody test performed for children with new-onset type 1 diabetes diagnosed in 2025.

Autoantibody testing has risen over time, both before and after diagnosis. Before diagnosis, testing remains uncommon but is trending upward across all five autoantibodies. In 2017, 2.4% of children were tested for GAD65 before their type 1 diabetes diagnosis; by 2025, that share had nearly doubled to 4.2%. Insulin autoantibody testing before diagnosis grew from 1.9% to 3.6%, IA-2 from 1.2% to 3.1%, ZnT8 from 0.4% to 3.3%, and pancreatic islet cell antibodies from 0.8% to 1.9% over the same period. These rising pre-diagnosis testing rates may reflect growing awareness of type 1 diabetes risk screening programs and the availability of therapies for individuals identified in early disease stages.5

Figure 3
Autoantibody Testing Before Type 1 Diabetes Diagnosis
Autoantibody Testing Before Type 1 Diabetes Diagnosis
Figure 3. Percentage of children tested for each autoantibody in the six months preceding their type 1 diabetes diagnosis date, by year of diagnosis (2017–2025).

Testing after diagnosis is far more common and has also increased. GAD65 remained the most frequently ordered autoantibody, yet even among children diagnosed in 2025, fewer than half (46.6%) were tested for it after diagnosis, up from 31.2% in 2017. Insulin autoantibody testing rose from 24.9% to 40.4%, IA-2 rose from 22.4% to 36.3%, and islet cell antibodies from 7.6% to 23.3%. ZnT8 testing showed the most dramatic growth, climbing from 3.3% in 2017 to 35.1% by 2025.

Figure 4
Autoantibody Testing After Type 1 Diabetes Diagnosis
Autoantibody Testing After Type 1 Diabetes Diagnosis
Figure 4. Percentage of children tested for each autoantibody in the six months following their type 1 diabetes diagnosis date, by year of diagnosis (2017–2025).

These data come from Cosmos, a dataset created in collaboration with a community of Epic health systems representing more than 310 million patient records from 2,200 hospitals and more than 50,000 clinics from all 50 U.S. states, Canada, Lebanon, and Saudi Arabia. This study was completed by two teams that worked independently, each composed of a clinician and research scientist. The two teams came to similar conclusions. Graphics by Brian Olson.

References

  1. Imperatore G, Mayer-Davis EJ, Orchard TJ, Zhong VW. Prevalence and incidence of type 1 diabetes among children and adults in the United States and comparison with non-U.S. countries. In: Cowie CC, Casagrande SS, Menke A, et al., eds. Diabetes in America. 3rd ed. National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases; 2018. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK568003/. Accessed March 16, 2026.
  2. Felton JL, Redondo MJ, Oram RA, et al. Islet autoantibodies as precision diagnostic tools to characterize heterogeneity in type 1 diabetes: a systematic review. Commun Med (Lond). 2024;4(1):66. Published 2024 Apr 6. doi:10.1038/s43856-024-00478-y
  3. American Diabetes Association Professional Practice Committee. 2. Diagnosis and Classification of Diabetes: Standards of Care in Diabetes-2025. Diabetes Care. 2025;48(1 Suppl 1):S27-S49. doi:10.2337/dc25-S002
  4. Wang J, Miao D, Babu S, et al. Prevalence of autoantibody-negative diabetes is not rare at all ages and increases with older age and obesity. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2007;92(1):88-92. doi:10.1210/jc.2006-1494
  5. FDA approves first drug that can delay onset of type 1 diabetes. U.S. Food and Drug Administration. Published November 17, 2022. https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/fda-approves-first-drug-can-delay-onset-type-1-diabetes. Accessed September 25, 2026.
  6. Williams CL, Long AE. The measurement of autoantibodies to insulin informs diagnosis of diabetes in a childhood population negative for other autoantibodies. Diabet Med. 2023;40(3):e15009. doi:10.1111/dme.15009

Data Definitions

Study period
Study population: inclusion
Study population: exclusion
Index date
Outcomes
Type 1 diabetes
Outpatient face-to-face encounter
Type 2 diabetes
Diabetes autoantibody lab test
Test positivity
Model specifications
Limitations