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GLP-1 Use Has More Than Quadrupled Since 2021 as Obesity Rates Continue to Show Signs of Decline

May 21, 2026

Key Findings

  • Two new data trackers from Epic Research now provide quarterly snapshots of GLP-1 use and BMI distribution in the U.S. adult population.
  • GLP-1 prescriptions among U.S. adults rose from 1,884 to 8,819 per 100,000 patients between the second quarter of 2021 and the first quarter of 2026. The more than fourfold increase was driven primarily by tirzepatide and semaglutide, with use expanding in both diabetic and non-diabetic populations.
  • The share of adults classified as obese declined modestly over the same period, from 42.3% to 40.7%.

Obesity affects more than 40% of U.S. adults and contributes to cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes, certain cancers, and a range of other chronic conditions.1 The arrival of glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists, a class of medications originally developed for type 2 diabetes, has reshaped the treatment landscape. Semaglutide (Wegovy, Ozempic) received FDA approval for chronic weight management in 2021, followed by tirzepatide (Zepbound) in 2023, both demonstrating substantial weight loss in clinical trials.2,3 Demand has grown rapidly, raising questions about real-world uptake, prescribing patterns across clinical indications, and whether population-level BMI distributions are beginning to shift in response.

The GLP-1 utilization tracker reports prescriptions per 100,000 patients for each GLP-1, and the BMI tracker reports the distribution of U.S. adults across BMI categories.

GLP-1 prescribing has grown substantially across the tracker’s window, with prescriptions per 100,000 U.S. adults rising from 1,884 in the second quarter of 2021 to 8,819 in the first quarter of 2026. The composition of GLP-1 prescribing changed markedly over the period. In 2021, the most prescribed agents were semaglutide (about 680 per 100,000) and dulaglutide (about 790 per 100,000). By the first quarter of 2026, tirzepatide had become the most frequently prescribed agent at roughly 4,700 prescriptions per 100,00 patients, and semaglutide had grown to around 3,900 per 100,000. Use of older agents declined as the newer drugs displaced them.

Figure 1
Quarterly GLP-1 Prescription Rates
Quarterly GLP-1 Prescription Rates
Figure 1. Quarterly GLP-1 prescription rates per 100,000 U.S. adults from Q2 2021 through Q1 2026.

BMI distribution has shifted modestly toward lower weight categories over the same period, with the change concentrated in the second half of the period. The share of U.S. adults classified as obese was 42.3% in the second quarter of 2021 and remained near that level through 2022 before declining to 40.7% by the first quarter of 2026. Over the same window, the healthy weight share rose from 25.1% to 25.6%.

Figure 2
Quarterly Adult BMI Distribution
Quarterly Adult BMI Distribution
Figure 2. The distribution of U.S. adults across BMI categories by quarter from Q2 2021 through Q1 2026.

These data come from Cosmos, a dataset created in collaboration with a community of Epic health systems representing more than 304 million patient records from 2,000 hospitals and more than 47,000 clinics from all 50 U.S. states, Canada, Lebanon, and Saudi Arabia. Both trackers will be refreshed quarterly.

References

  1. Adult obesity facts. U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. https://www.cdc.gov/obesity/adult-obesity-facts/index.html. Accessed May 1, 2026.
  2. Wilding JPH, Batterham RL, Calanna S, et al. Once-weekly semaglutide in adults with overweight or obesity. N Engl J Med. 2021;384(11):989-1002. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2032183
  3. Jastreboff AM, Aronne LJ, Ahmad NN, et al. Tirzepatide once weekly for the treatment of obesity. N Engl J Med. 2022;387(3):205-216. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2206038