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Cosmos Study

Shingles Vaccination Correlated with Reduced Likelihood of Dementia and Alzheimer’s

January 28, 2025
Dual-Team Study
Team A:Kersten Bartelt, RNBen BowersEric Barkley
Team B:Dave Little, MDJoe Deckert, PhD

Key Findings

  • Patients who received a live or recombinant shingles vaccination between ages 50 and 65 are less likely to be diagnosed with dementia or Alzheimer’s disease after age 65 compared to those who didn’t receive a shingles vaccination. 

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommends shingles vaccination for all adults aged 50 and older.1 The recombinant version of the vaccine has been recommended since late 2020 in the United States. Previously, a live (or attenuated) vaccine was recommended.1 Dementia and Alzheimer’s disease are conditions which affect a patient’s behavior and memory, with many factors that can contribute to the development of these conditions.2 

To understand the relationship between shingles vaccination and the likelihood of developing dementia or Alzheimer’s disease, we compared 3,258,533 patients who received the shingles vaccination between ages 50 and 65 to 4,329,780 patients of the same age with no evidence of a shingles vaccination. The vaccination rate in our study population was 42.9%, likely higher than the general population, as we required evidence of a pneumonia or influenza vaccine during the study period. This criteria aimed to ensure that immunizations were reliably captured in the EHR. We tracked dementia or Alzheimer’s disease diagnoses after the patient turned 65 and adjusted for patient race, age, Social Vulnerability Index quartile, rural-urban status, legal sex, BMI classification, frequency of care, and various comorbidities. 

Compared to patients with no evidence of any shingles vaccine, patients who received the live shingles vaccine between the ages of 50 and 59 were 41% less likely to be diagnosed with dementia after age 65. Patients who received the live vaccine between the ages of 60 and 65 were 48% less likely to be diagnosed with dementia after age 65. Similarly, patients who received the recombinant vaccine were also less likely than unvaccinated patients to be diagnosed with dementia after age 65: 44% less likely if they received it between ages 50 and 59, and 45% less likely if they received it between ages 60 and 65. 

Figure 1
Likelihood of Dementia by Shingles Vaccination
Likelihood of Dementia by Shingles Vaccination
Figure 1. Likelihood of a patient being diagnosed with dementia after age 65 by shingles vaccination and age at vaccination.

We also examined the relationship between shingles vaccinations and Alzheimer’s diagnoses. Compared to patients who did not have evidence of any shingles vaccine, patients who received the live shingles vaccine between the ages of 50 and 59 were 28% less likely to be diagnosed with Alzheimer’s disease after age 65. Patients who received the live vaccine between the ages of 60 and 65 were 39% less likely to be diagnosed with Alzheimer’s disease after age 65. Similarly, patients who received the recombinant vaccine were also less likely than unvaccinated patients to be diagnosed with Alzheimer’s disease after age 65: 22% less likely if they received it between ages 50 and 59, and 28% less likely if they received it between ages 60 and 65. 

Figure 2
Likelihood of Alzheimer’s by Shingles Vaccination
Likelihood of Alzheimer’s by Shingles Vaccination
Figure 2. Likelihood of a patient being diagnosed with Alzheimer’s after age 65 by shingles vaccination and age at vaccination.

These data come from Cosmos, a dataset created in collaboration with a community of Epic health systems representing more than 289 million patient records from 1,600 hospitals and more than 37,000 clinics from all 50 states, Lebanon, and Saudi Arabia. This study was completed by two teams that worked independently, each composed of a clinician and research scientists. The two teams came to similar conclusions. Graphics by Brian Olson. 

References

  1. Shingles vaccine recommendations. U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. October 22, 2024. https://www.cdc.gov/shingles/hcp/vaccine-considerations/index.html. Accessed December 11, 2024. 
  2. About dementia. U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. August 17, 2024. https://www.cdc.gov/alzheimers-dementia/about/index.html. Accessed January 15, 2025. 

Data Definitions

Study period
Study population
Exposures
Outcomes
Confounders
Race and ethnicity
Social Vulnerability Index
Prior encounter
Comorbidity
Model specifications